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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.4 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 1–2 Famalicao | 2.03–2.50 | 32% · 19% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Benfica 1–0 Chaves | 3.67–0.56 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estrela 1–2 Sporting CP | 1.22–1.93 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Moreirense | 0.73–0.33 | 41% · 44% · 15% | Close call, Vitória Guimarães won |
| Arouca 2–1 Farense | 1.49–2.02 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Won against the xG: Arouca |
| Boavista 0–0 Rio Ave | 0.63–0.43 | 34% · 45% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Estoril 1–0 FC Porto | 1.18–1.18 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Vizela 0–4 Casa Pia | 1.16–0.79 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
| Portimonense 3–5 SC Braga | 1.89–3.62 | 17% · 14% · 70% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.