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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 21.3 xG (1.32 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense 2–0 Boavista | 2.00–0.91 | 63% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Famalicao 3–2 Vizela | 1.20–1.94 | 23% · 22% · 55% | Won against the xG: Famalicao |
| Rio Ave 3–0 Gil Vicente | 2.65–0.15 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| SC Braga 0–3 Arouca | 1.34–1.31 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Sporting CP 2–1 Benfica | 1.04–1.15 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Close call, Sporting CP won |
| Chaves 2–3 Portimonense | 1.35–1.11 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Close call, Portimonense won |
| Moreirense 2–2 Estrela | 1.11–1.65 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 1–2 Vitória Guimarães | 1.09–0.23 | 58% · 34% · 8% | Won against the xG: Vitória Guimarães |
| Casa Pia 0–0 Estoril | 0.56–0.49 | 30% · 45% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.