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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.8 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 0–4 Sporting CP | 1.54–1.95 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Farense | 1.32–0.74 | 50% · 29% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 50% |
| FC Porto 2–2 Famalicao | 3.57–1.74 | 72% · 13% · 15% | Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 72% |
| Estoril 0–1 SC Braga | 0.27–1.19 | 8% · 31% · 60% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Estrela 2–2 Rio Ave | 1.79–0.38 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 72% |
| Arouca 2–1 Boavista | 3.00–0.63 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Portimonense 2–2 Casa Pia | 0.85–2.05 | 15% · 20% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Casa Pia had 65% |
| Benfica 3–0 Moreirense | 1.54–0.26 | 70% · 24% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Vizela 0–1 Chaves | 0.92–1.06 | 31% · 31% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Chaves |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.