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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.4 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave 1–1 Arouca | 0.62–1.07 | 21% · 33% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente | 0.67–0.62 | 31% · 40% · 28% | Close call, Gil Vicente won |
| Boavista 1–1 Estrela | 1.26–1.09 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Braga 2–1 Vizela | 2.46–0.63 | 78% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Chaves 2–2 Estoril | 1.26–0.78 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Famalicao 2–2 Portimonense | 1.64–2.11 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 1–2 FC Porto | 1.02–1.55 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Sporting CP 3–0 Vitória Guimarães | 1.90–0.26 | 78% · 18% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Farense 1–3 Benfica | 0.68–1.76 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.