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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.9 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 1–0 Vizela | 1.90–0.98 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Boavista 1–1 Gil Vicente | 1.10–1.59 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rio Ave 2–1 Vitória Guimarães | 0.27–0.97 | 10% · 37% · 53% | Won against the xG: Rio Ave |
| Sporting CP 3–0 Portimonense | 3.59–0.05 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Chaves 0–3 FC Porto | 0.36–2.59 | 3% · 11% · 85% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Farense 3–2 Estoril | 1.11–0.63 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Arouca 0–0 Estrela | 0.75–0.30 | 43% · 43% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Braga 4–3 Casa Pia | 1.70–1.76 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Close call, SC Braga won |
| Famalicao 2–0 Benfica | 0.65–1.64 | 14% · 24% · 61% | Won against the xG: Famalicao |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.