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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.6 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves 0–1 Famalicao | 0.38–1.29 | 11% · 29% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Portimonense 2–2 Rio Ave | 1.71–0.79 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Portimonense had 59% |
| Vizela 4–0 Estrela | 2.84–0.72 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Vizela |
| Estoril 0–1 Sporting CP | 0.20–1.39 | 5% · 26% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–3 SC Braga | 1.80–2.10 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Gil Vicente 2–0 Farense | 1.85–0.72 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense | 0.50–0.83 | 21% · 39% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Benfica 5–0 Arouca | 5.28–0.32 | 98% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| FC Porto 2–1 Boavista | 1.65–0.20 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.