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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP 3–1 Rio Ave | 3.00–0.46 | 87% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| AVS 1–1 Nacional | 1.01–0.53 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Boavista | 0.92–1.15 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Boavista |
| FC Porto 3–0 Gil Vicente | 3.47–0.10 | 96% · 4% · 0% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estoril 1–4 Santa Clara | 0.15–2.72 | 1% · 8% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Famalicao 2–0 Benfica | 1.47–0.78 | 54% · 27% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Farense 1–2 Moreirense | 1.40–2.20 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| SC Braga 1–1 Estrela | 1.41–0.69 | 54% · 27% · 18% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 54% |
| Arouca 0–1 Vitória Guimarães | 0.21–0.83 | 9% · 42% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.