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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 24.5 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara 0–2 FC Porto | 0.75–1.11 | 25% · 31% · 44% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Gil Vicente 4–2 AVS | 2.38–1.42 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Rio Ave 1–0 Farense | 1.36–0.54 | 57% · 28% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Nacional 1–6 Sporting CP | 1.23–3.14 | 11% · 13% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Benfica 3–0 Casa Pia | 2.50–0.29 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Moreirense 3–1 Arouca | 2.50–1.01 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Estoril | 1.79–0.20 | 77% · 19% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Boavista 0–1 SC Braga | 0.63–1.07 | 21% · 33% · 46% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Estrela 0–3 Famalicao | 0.69–1.90 | 13% · 21% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.