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9 of 9 matches with xG: 17 goals from 22.2 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense 0–5 Sporting CP | 0.29–3.94 | 1% · 4% · 96% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Casa Pia 0–2 Santa Clara | 0.79–0.69 | 34% · 37% · 29% | Close call, Santa Clara won |
| FC Porto 2–0 Rio Ave | 3.37–0.00 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Famalicao 1–0 Boavista | 0.70–0.27 | 42% · 45% · 13% | Close call, Famalicao won |
| Benfica 1–0 Estrela | 1.45–0.13 | 72% · 25% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Arouca 1–0 Nacional | 1.23–1.21 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Estoril 0–0 Gil Vicente | 0.56–1.34 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 56% |
| AVS 1–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.74–1.61 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Won against the xG: AVS |
| SC Braga 3–1 Moreirense | 1.73–2.19 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Close call, SC Braga won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.