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9 of 9 matches with xG: 14 goals from 19.3 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 1–1 Benfica | 0.27–1.50 | 6% · 25% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 69% |
| Santa Clara 2–1 AVS | 1.84–0.68 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Estrela 0–1 Casa Pia | 0.46–0.60 | 23% · 45% · 32% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
| Boavista 0–0 Estoril | 1.54–0.27 | 70% · 24% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Boavista had 70% |
| Sporting CP 2–0 FC Porto | 2.98–0.50 | 87% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Nacional 2–0 Farense | 1.68–0.41 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| Rio Ave 1–0 Arouca | 1.66–1.10 | 50% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Famalicao | 1.40–0.25 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Gil Vicente 0–0 SC Braga | 1.57–0.55 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 62% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.