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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.0 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.23–3.21 | 1% · 6% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Casa Pia 3–1 Moreirense | 0.74–0.69 | 33% · 38% · 30% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
| AVS 1–0 Rio Ave | 0.62–0.92 | 24% · 36% · 41% | Won against the xG: AVS |
| Famalicao 1–1 Gil Vicente | 1.07–0.44 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 51% |
| Benfica 4–1 Santa Clara | 2.19–0.72 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| FC Porto 2–1 Farense | 4.13–1.02 | 88% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estoril 1–0 Nacional | 0.68–2.14 | 11% · 18% · 71% | Won against the xG: Estoril |
| SC Braga 0–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.47–0.98 | 17% · 36% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Estrela 2–2 Boavista | 0.92–1.79 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Boavista had 58% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.