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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 18.2 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional 0–3 SC Braga | 1.25–2.29 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Rio Ave 2–2 Estoril | 1.05–1.21 | 32% · 29% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Estrela | 1.73–0.31 | 73% · 21% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–3 FC Porto | 0.21–1.53 | 5% · 24% · 72% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Moreirense 0–0 Famalicao | 0.61–0.14 | 41% · 51% · 7% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Casa Pia | 0.88–1.29 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 0–1 Arouca | 1.24–0.64 | 51% · 30% · 19% | Won against the xG: Arouca |
| Sporting CP 3–0 AVS | 1.57–0.09 | 76% · 22% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Boavista 0–3 Benfica | 0.32–1.84 | 6% · 19% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.