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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.1 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.13–1.89 | 2% · 17% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Estrela 2–1 Moreirense | 0.60–1.30 | 17% · 29% · 54% | Won against the xG: Estrela |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Vitória Guimarães | 2.21–0.73 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Casa Pia had 71% |
| Benfica 5–1 Gil Vicente | 2.68–0.88 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 0–0 Nacional | 0.94–0.62 | 42% · 35% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 4–0 Arouca | 2.72–0.17 | 90% · 8% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Boavista | 2.17–0.12 | 86% · 13% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| SC Braga 4–0 Rio Ave | 3.20–0.92 | 81% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| AVS 0–0 Farense | 0.40–0.42 | 23% · 52% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.