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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.4 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao | 2.29–0.41 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 80% |
| Gil Vicente 3–0 Estrela | 1.59–0.70 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.46–1.35 | 13% · 28% · 59% | Won against the xG: Moreirense |
| Arouca 1–1 AVS | 0.87–2.03 | 15% · 20% · 64% | Draw against the xG: AVS had 64% |
| Sporting CP 2–0 Casa Pia | 2.71–0.43 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Farense 1–0 Estoril | 1.48–1.19 | 44% · 26% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Boavista | 2.50–2.57 | 40% · 18% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 2–1 SC Braga | 1.21–1.03 | 40% · 29% · 31% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Nacional 0–2 Benfica | 0.15–1.47 | 4% · 24% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.