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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 25.4 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 1–0 Nacional | 0.79–1.04 | 27% · 32% · 41% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
| Santa Clara 2–1 Gil Vicente | 1.50–0.79 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Estoril 4–1 Arouca | 2.23–1.69 | 50% · 20% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Boavista 0–2 Moreirense | 0.23–2.00 | 3% · 16% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Famalicao 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.20–3.60 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| SC Braga 2–0 Farense | 3.35–0.20 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Benfica 5–0 Rio Ave | 2.38–0.19 | 86% · 12% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estrela 2–2 Vitória Guimarães | 1.19–1.46 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| AVS 0–5 FC Porto | 0.24–2.35 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.