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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 26.6 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela | 3.26–1.83 | 66% · 15% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Rio Ave 2–2 Casa Pia | 1.05–1.33 | 29% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 1–2 Benfica | 0.75–1.50 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Gil Vicente 1–2 Boavista | 0.80–1.76 | 17% · 23% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Boavista |
| AVS 2–3 Famalicao | 1.60–1.90 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Moreirense | 0.46–0.36 | 28% · 52% · 21% | Close call, Vitória Guimarães won |
| Arouca 1–2 SC Braga | 1.78–1.91 | 37% · 22% · 42% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| FC Porto 4–0 Estoril | 2.94–1.01 | 77% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Nacional 2–0 Santa Clara | 1.35–1.05 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.