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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 19.0 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 3–2 Gil Vicente | 1.10–0.80 | 42% · 31% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Estoril 0–0 AVS | 0.29–1.11 | 10% · 33% · 57% | Draw against the xG: AVS had 57% |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Farense | 1.15–1.01 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Famalicao 0–0 Arouca | 0.25–0.50 | 14% · 53% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Boavista 0–2 Rio Ave | 1.74–0.14 | 78% · 19% · 3% | Won against the xG: Rio Ave |
| Estrela 2–0 Nacional | 1.95–0.52 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Vitória Guimarães | 3.03–0.54 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| SC Braga 2–4 Sporting CP | 0.80–0.90 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Benfica 4–1 FC Porto | 2.08–1.12 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.