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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.9 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense 1–0 Estrela | 1.01–0.37 | 51% · 35% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Rio Ave 3–2 Moreirense | 1.92–1.38 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Nacional 0–0 Boavista | 0.97–0.81 | 38% · 33% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting CP 0–1 Santa Clara | 1.51–0.37 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Won against the xG: Santa Clara |
| Estoril 2–1 Famalicao | 1.42–1.04 | 46% · 27% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Arouca 0–2 Benfica | 0.52–2.05 | 8% · 18% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| AVS 0–1 SC Braga | 0.89–3.55 | 5% · 9% · 85% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Vitória Guimarães 4–0 Gil Vicente | 1.71–0.09 | 79% · 19% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| FC Porto 2–0 Casa Pia | 1.82–0.46 | 71% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.