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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.1 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 2–1 Sporting CP | 0.30–1.94 | 5% · 18% · 77% | Won against the xG: Moreirense |
| SC Braga 2–2 Estoril | 3.71–1.51 | 77% · 12% · 11% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 77% |
| Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional | 0.65–2.01 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Won against the xG: Gil Vicente |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave | 0.81–0.41 | 42% · 40% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Benfica 1–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.79–0.45 | 41% · 40% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 1–1 FC Porto | 1.23–0.97 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Boavista 1–1 Farense | 1.49–1.44 | 39% · 25% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 1–1 AVS | 1.32–0.98 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Estrela 2–1 Arouca | 1.07–1.07 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.