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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 17.3 xG (1.39 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense 0–1 Gil Vicente | 0.64–0.38 | 36% · 45% · 19% | Won against the xG: Gil Vicente |
| Nacional 1–0 Moreirense | 0.60–0.23 | 38% · 50% · 12% | Close call, Nacional won |
| Sporting CP 3–2 Boavista | 1.92–0.72 | 66% · 21% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.66–0.28 | 40% · 47% · 14% | Close call, Arouca won |
| AVS 1–1 Benfica | 0.77–0.73 | 33% · 37% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Estoril 0–2 Casa Pia | 0.91–1.63 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| SC Braga 3–3 Famalicao | 3.02–0.83 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 81% |
| FC Porto 2–0 Estrela | 1.10–0.13 | 62% · 34% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Rio Ave 2–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.18–2.59 | 2% · 10% · 89% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 89% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.