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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 16.5 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca | 0.81–0.62 | 37% · 38% · 26% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
| Famalicao 1–2 Farense | 1.22–0.25 | 62% · 31% · 8% | Won against the xG: Farense |
| Boavista 0–0 AVS | 0.86–1.07 | 29% · 31% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Moreirense 0–3 FC Porto | 0.31–0.91 | 12% · 38% · 49% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Santa Clara 0–2 SC Braga | 1.41–1.58 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Gil Vicente 0–0 Sporting CP | 0.08–1.16 | 3% · 32% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Sporting CP had 66% |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Nacional | 1.20–0.53 | 53% · 31% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 53% |
| Benfica 3–0 Estoril | 2.48–0.45 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estrela 1–0 Rio Ave | 0.70–0.82 | 28% · 36% · 35% | Close call, Estrela won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.