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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 20.2 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca 1–1 Gil Vicente | 0.51–1.27 | 15% · 30% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 55% |
| AVS 1–1 Estrela | 1.22–2.02 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 56% |
| Estoril 2–2 Moreirense | 1.12–0.63 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 4–0 Boavista | 2.03–0.19 | 82% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional | 1.90–0.52 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Farense 2–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.26–2.05 | 4% · 16% · 80% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 80% |
| SC Braga 1–2 Casa Pia | 1.13–1.11 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
| Sporting CP 1–0 Benfica | 1.14–0.72 | 46% · 31% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Famalicao 1–2 Santa Clara | 1.04–1.39 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.