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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 20.1 xG (1.44 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães 4–4 Sporting CP | 1.79–1.14 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 53% |
| Moreirense 1–1 AVS | 1.34–1.01 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Benfica 1–2 SC Braga | 1.66–0.56 | 64% · 24% · 12% | Won against the xG: SC Braga |
| Boavista 1–3 Arouca | 0.75–1.98 | 13% · 20% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Santa Clara 0–0 Farense | 0.63–0.09 | 44% · 51% · 5% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Famalicao | 0.69–1.28 | 20% · 29% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 51% |
| Estrela 2–4 Estoril | 0.91–2.49 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Rio Ave | 1.93–0.56 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 70% |
| Nacional 2–0 FC Porto | 0.92–0.36 | 48% · 38% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.