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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 25.4 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica 4–0 Famalicao | 4.11–0.16 | 97% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Santa Clara 2–3 Estoril | 2.02–0.78 | 66% · 20% · 13% | Won against the xG: Estoril |
| Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.06–4.10 | 0% · 2% · 98% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Arouca | 1.13–1.65 | 26% · 24% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Moreirense 0–0 Farense | 0.59–0.31 | 35% · 48% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nacional 3–1 AVS | 1.90–1.55 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| Estrela 0–1 SC Braga | 0.28–1.23 | 8% · 30% · 61% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Gil Vicente 3–1 FC Porto | 1.97–1.05 | 59% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Boavista 2–3 Casa Pia | 1.16–1.35 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.