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9 of 9 matches with xG: 17 goals from 19.7 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca 1–0 Moreirense | 0.59–0.56 | 29% · 43% · 28% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Farense 1–2 Rio Ave | 2.07–1.40 | 53% · 21% · 26% | Won against the xG: Rio Ave |
| Famalicao 0–0 Estrela | 0.55–0.12 | 39% · 55% · 7% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 3–1 Benfica | 1.25–1.93 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
| Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional | 1.15–0.42 | 54% · 32% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Estoril 1–0 Vitória Guimarães | 1.07–0.50 | 49% · 34% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| FC Porto 1–1 Santa Clara | 3.19–0.04 | 95% · 4% · 0% | Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 95% |
| SC Braga 3–0 Boavista | 2.64–0.44 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| AVS 1–0 Gil Vicente | 1.33–0.43 | 60% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for AVS |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.