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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 20.5 xG (1.41 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boavista 0–2 Famalicao | 0.08–1.68 | 2% · 20% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Santa Clara 2–1 Casa Pia | 1.87–0.25 | 77% · 18% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Nacional 1–2 Arouca | 0.79–1.56 | 19% · 25% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Gil Vicente 1–2 Estoril | 1.63–1.59 | 39% · 23% · 37% | Close call, Estoril won |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–0 AVS | 1.27–0.21 | 65% · 29% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Sporting CP 3–1 Farense | 1.41–0.86 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Estrela 2–3 Benfica | 1.12–1.84 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Moreirense 1–2 SC Braga | 0.65–0.83 | 26% · 37% · 37% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Rio Ave 2–2 FC Porto | 1.38–1.52 | 35% · 25% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.