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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 18.0 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto 1–1 Sporting CP | 1.34–0.96 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| AVS 1–2 Santa Clara | 0.75–1.29 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Benfica 3–2 Moreirense | 1.63–1.12 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 0–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.39–0.40 | 23% · 53% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Farense 0–2 Nacional | 1.08–0.47 | 51% · 33% · 16% | Won against the xG: Nacional |
| Estoril 2–1 Boavista | 1.58–1.25 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| SC Braga 2–0 Gil Vicente | 1.55–0.36 | 67% · 24% · 8% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela | 1.46–0.25 | 69% · 25% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Arouca 1–1 Rio Ave | 1.49–0.60 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Arouca had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.