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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.8 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boavista 0–1 Estrela | 0.51–0.47 | 28% · 47% · 25% | Close call, Estrela won |
| Moreirense 3–2 Casa Pia | 2.15–1.05 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Nacional 2–2 Estoril | 2.39–1.48 | 58% · 19% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Nacional had 58% |
| Santa Clara 0–1 Benfica | 0.82–2.59 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca | 2.13–2.06 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rio Ave 1–1 AVS | 1.77–0.68 | 64% · 23% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 64% |
| Farense 0–1 FC Porto | 0.47–1.31 | 13% · 29% · 58% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–0 SC Braga | 1.34–0.11 | 70% · 27% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 70% |
| Gil Vicente 0–2 Famalicao | 1.42–2.02 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.