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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga 1–0 Nacional | 1.39–0.30 | 65% · 27% · 8% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Casa Pia 1–0 Gil Vicente | 0.79–0.13 | 50% · 44% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Benfica 3–0 Boavista | 5.44–0.23 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estoril 2–1 Rio Ave | 1.06–1.31 | 30% · 28% · 42% | Close call, Estoril won |
| Arouca 2–2 Farense | 1.65–0.68 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Arouca had 61% |
| Estrela 0–0 Santa Clara | 0.75–0.46 | 39% · 41% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| AVS 2–2 Sporting CP | 1.13–1.24 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Famalicao 2–0 Moreirense | 0.85–0.50 | 42% · 38% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| FC Porto 1–1 Vitória Guimarães | 1.02–1.26 | 30% · 28% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.