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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 19.7 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional 2–1 Famalicao | 0.97–1.10 | 32% · 30% · 38% | Close call, Nacional won |
| Arouca 0–2 FC Porto | 0.58–1.51 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Casa Pia | 1.69–0.46 | 68% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Moreirense 1–1 Estrela | 0.38–1.08 | 13% · 34% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 53% |
| Boavista 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.67–0.49 | 35% · 43% · 23% | Close call, Boavista won |
| Farense 0–1 AVS | 1.07–1.09 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Win in line with xG for AVS |
| Rio Ave 2–1 SC Braga | 2.10–0.98 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Sporting CP 3–1 Estoril | 2.20–0.53 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Gil Vicente 0–3 Benfica | 0.23–2.57 | 2% · 10% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.