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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 26.4 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 1–1 Gil Vicente | 0.45–0.57 | 23% · 46% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| AVS 0–1 Arouca | 0.83–2.35 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Estoril 2–2 Farense | 2.51–1.18 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Estoril had 66% |
| Benfica 3–0 Nacional | 4.34–2.40 | 71% · 12% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 1–0 FC Porto | 0.21–0.89 | 9% · 40% · 52% | Won against the xG: SC Braga |
| Santa Clara 1–1 Moreirense | 1.64–0.44 | 67% · 23% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Santa Clara had 67% |
| Casa Pia 1–3 Sporting CP | 0.45–2.32 | 6% · 15% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Boavista 1–2 Vitória Guimarães | 1.43–1.95 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Famalicao 1–0 Rio Ave | 1.54–0.91 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.