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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.8 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 0–1 Santa Clara | 0.65–0.48 | 34% · 43% · 23% | Close call, Santa Clara won |
| Farense 0–1 SC Braga | 0.43–1.11 | 14% · 33% · 53% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| FC Porto 2–0 AVS | 1.47–0.98 | 48% · 26% · 25% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Sporting CP 3–1 Famalicao | 3.85–1.04 | 86% · 9% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Arouca 1–1 Estoril | 0.82–2.20 | 13% · 19% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Estoril had 69% |
| Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia | 0.86–1.04 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Close call, Nacional won |
| Rio Ave 2–3 Benfica | 1.29–4.81 | 4% · 6% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Moreirense 1–0 Boavista | 1.79–0.67 | 64% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–0 Estrela | 1.00–0.26 | 54% · 36% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.