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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 21.9 xG (1.41 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 2–1 Rio Ave | 0.86–2.11 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
| Estrela 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.35–2.25 | 4% · 15% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| SC Braga 2–1 Arouca | 0.69–0.63 | 32% · 40% · 28% | Close call, SC Braga won |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional | 0.83–0.52 | 40% · 38% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Famalicao 4–1 AVS | 2.37–0.53 | 79% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Estoril 1–2 FC Porto | 0.87–1.54 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Moreirense 2–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.52–1.01 | 19% · 35% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Boavista 1–3 Gil Vicente | 1.29–1.45 | 34% · 26% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Benfica 3–2 Farense | 2.34–1.77 | 51% · 20% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.