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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.1 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP | 0.43–2.85 | 3% · 10% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente | 0.79–0.62 | 36% · 38% · 26% | Close call, Gil Vicente won |
| Arouca 3–1 AVS | 1.10–1.13 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Famalicao 3–0 Santa Clara | 1.01–0.36 | 51% · 36% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| SC Braga 3–0 Tondela | 1.98–0.78 | 66% · 21% · 14% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Moreirense 2–1 Alverca | 0.93–0.97 | 33% · 32% · 35% | Close call, Moreirense won |
| Estoril 1–1 Estrela | 0.67–1.37 | 18% · 28% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 54% |
| FC Porto 3–0 Vitória Guimarães | 2.68–0.54 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Benfica 1–1 Rio Ave | 2.70–0.15 | 90% · 8% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 90% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.