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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.1 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS 0–2 Casa Pia | 1.24–1.50 | 31% · 25% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Tondela 0–1 Famalicao | 1.08–1.08 | 35% · 29% · 35% | Close call, Famalicao won |
| Vitória Guimarães 3–2 Estoril | 1.88–0.94 | 59% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Estrela 0–1 Benfica | 1.27–2.30 | 20% · 19% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional | 1.52–0.98 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alverca 0–3 SC Braga | 2.18–1.24 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Won against the xG: SC Braga |
| Santa Clara 0–1 Moreirense | 0.65–1.51 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Sporting CP 6–0 Arouca | 2.86–0.22 | 91% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Gil Vicente 0–2 FC Porto | 1.12–1.55 | 27% · 25% · 47% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.