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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 24.1 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 2–0 Vitória Guimarães | 1.49–0.26 | 69% · 25% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Nacional 1–4 Sporting CP | 0.72–2.67 | 8% · 14% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave | 0.70–1.57 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 58% |
| Benfica 3–0 Tondela | 3.01–0.40 | 89% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 0–0 Gil Vicente | 0.40–1.23 | 12% · 30% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 57% |
| FC Porto 4–0 Casa Pia | 2.63–0.22 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| SC Braga 2–2 AVS | 2.31–0.42 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 80% |
| Estrela 2–2 Alverca | 2.63–1.17 | 69% · 17% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 69% |
| Estoril 0–1 Santa Clara | 0.70–1.59 | 16% · 25% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.