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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.6 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 2–0 Moreirense | 1.20–0.93 | 42% · 29% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Casa Pia 0–2 Nacional | 0.66–1.24 | 20% · 30% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| AVS 0–1 Famalicao | 0.54–0.90 | 21% · 37% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Arouca | 0.33–0.44 | 19% · 53% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting CP 1–2 FC Porto | 0.91–1.53 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Tondela 2–2 Estoril | 2.79–2.11 | 53% · 18% · 29% | Draw against the xG: Tondela had 53% |
| Alverca 1–2 Benfica | 0.74–1.02 | 26% · 33% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Rio Ave 2–2 SC Braga | 1.07–2.11 | 18% · 20% · 61% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 61% |
| Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela | 1.00–0.10 | 60% · 37% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Santa Clara had 60% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.