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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.5 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca 1–0 Tondela | 1.66–2.36 | 27% · 20% · 53% | Won against the xG: Alverca |
| Benfica 1–1 Santa Clara | 1.72–1.09 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 52% |
| Estoril 3–1 AVS | 1.68–0.95 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Moreirense 3–1 Rio Ave | 1.96–1.33 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| FC Porto 1–0 Nacional | 1.88–0.08 | 82% · 16% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Famalicao 1–2 Sporting CP | 0.95–2.21 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Estrela 0–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.51–1.54 | 12% · 25% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia | 0.27–1.49 | 6% · 25% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| SC Braga 0–1 Gil Vicente | 1.47–1.39 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Close call, Gil Vicente won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.