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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 21.8 xG (1.42 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 3–0 AVS | 1.91–0.42 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Vitória Guimarães 5–0 Tondela | 2.55–0.06 | 91% · 9% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Sporting CP 4–2 Santa Clara | 2.66–0.65 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Nacional 2–0 Estrela | 0.96–0.53 | 45% · 36% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| Moreirense 0–1 SC Braga | 0.38–1.31 | 11% · 29% · 60% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca | 1.64–1.45 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Close call, Alverca won |
| FC Porto 2–2 Famalicao | 0.42–1.77 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 71% |
| Arouca 3–2 Estoril | 1.98–1.12 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica | 0.36–1.67 | 7% · 22% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 70% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.