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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 4–0 Casa Pia | 3.69–0.65 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Famalicao 1–0 Nacional | 1.74–0.43 | 70% · 22% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Moreirense 0–1 Arouca | 0.59–1.69 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Benfica 3–0 Vitória Guimarães | 2.02–0.77 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente | 0.30–0.79 | 13% · 42% · 45% | Won against the xG: Santa Clara |
| Tondela 0–0 AVS | 0.64–0.80 | 27% · 37% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave | 1.15–1.65 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Alverca 1–4 Sporting CP | 0.83–1.33 | 23% · 28% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| SC Braga 1–2 FC Porto | 0.99–1.19 | 30% · 29% · 40% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.