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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães 1–2 Famalicao | 0.47–1.47 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Gil Vicente 2–2 Alverca | 0.68–1.83 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Alverca had 65% |
| Arouca 1–2 Benfica | 2.50–2.09 | 48% · 19% · 33% | Close call, Benfica won |
| AVS 0–1 Santa Clara | 0.28–0.98 | 10% · 37% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Nacional 0–1 Estoril | 0.80–1.12 | 26% · 31% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela | 2.75–1.34 | 67% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| FC Porto 3–0 Moreirense | 2.13–0.14 | 85% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga | 0.48–0.47 | 26% · 48% · 26% | Close call, SC Braga won |
| Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela | 1.67–1.35 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.