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Primeira Liga 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 25

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Matches

Matchday 25 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 21.2 xG (0.85 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Famalicao 1–0 Arouca0.97–0.8936% · 32% · 32%Win in line with xG for Famalicao
Alverca 0–0 AVS0.97–0.4248% · 36% · 16%Draw in line with xG
Moreirense 1–1 Nacional0.94–1.4125% · 27% · 48%Draw in line with xG
SC Braga 2–2 Sporting CP1.57–1.9332% · 22% · 46%Draw in line with xG
Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia0.67–1.4417% · 27% · 56%Draw against the xG: Casa Pia had 56%
Estrela 2–2 Gil Vicente1.22–1.9124% · 22% · 53%Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 53%
Benfica 2–2 FC Porto1.30–2.1423% · 21% · 57%Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 57%
Santa Clara 2–0 Vitória Guimarães0.61–1.0821% · 33% · 47%Won against the xG: Santa Clara
Tondela 0–1 Rio Ave0.50–1.2315% · 30% · 54%Win in line with xG for Rio Ave

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 24 · Matchday 26

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