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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 24.4 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto 3–1 Arouca | 3.16–0.24 | 92% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Sporting CP 3–0 Estoril | 2.26–0.62 | 75% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| AVS 0–0 Estrela | 0.78–0.68 | 34% · 37% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nacional 1–2 SC Braga | 0.96–2.48 | 13% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Alverca | 1.30–2.16 | 22% · 20% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Alverca had 57% |
| Tondela 2–2 Santa Clara | 1.62–1.69 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Casa Pia 1–1 Moreirense | 1.17–1.51 | 29% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rio Ave 0–0 Famalicao | 1.01–0.85 | 38% · 32% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gil Vicente 1–2 Benfica | 0.79–1.17 | 25% · 30% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.