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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 0–2 Tondela | 1.13–1.29 | 32% · 27% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Tondela |
| Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara | 1.30–0.70 | 51% · 29% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Alverca had 51% |
| Arouca 3–0 Nacional | 1.92–0.99 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Benfica 3–0 AVS | 3.47–0.11 | 96% · 4% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.37–1.38 | 10% · 27% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| SC Braga 3–2 Vitória Guimarães | 2.48–1.27 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente | 2.18–2.42 | 36% · 19% · 45% | Close call, Estoril won |
| FC Porto 1–0 Rio Ave | 1.96–0.24 | 79% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Famalicao 2–0 Casa Pia | 1.50–0.37 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.