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9 of 9 matches with xG: 17 goals from 21.5 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave 2–2 AVS | 2.36–1.60 | 55% · 20% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 55% |
| Nacional 1–0 Alverca | 1.03–0.47 | 49% · 34% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara | 1.27–0.19 | 65% · 29% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Casa Pia had 65% |
| Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória Guimarães | 1.21–0.82 | 45% · 30% · 25% | Won against the xG: Vitória Guimarães |
| Arouca 1–0 Estrela | 1.01–1.25 | 30% · 28% · 42% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Sporting CP 1–2 Benfica | 1.66–2.27 | 28% · 20% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 2–2 Famalicao | 1.59–0.46 | 65% · 24% · 10% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 65% |
| FC Porto 2–0 Tondela | 2.95–0.11 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Moreirense 1–0 Estoril | 0.86–0.35 | 46% · 39% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.