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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 24.1 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca 0–4 Gil Vicente | 1.56–1.20 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Won against the xG: Gil Vicente |
| Santa Clara 2–0 AVS | 1.85–0.19 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Benfica 5–0 Arouca | 3.73–0.43 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave | 0.84–0.61 | 38% · 37% · 25% | Close call, Rio Ave won |
| Estoril 1–1 Nacional | 1.76–1.20 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Estoril had 51% |
| Famalicao 2–0 Vitória Guimarães | 1.71–0.48 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Tondela 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.36–3.17 | 2% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| SC Braga 4–0 Casa Pia | 2.71–0.19 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Moreirense 1–2 FC Porto | 0.23–1.86 | 4% · 18% · 78% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.