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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 21.0 xG (1.33 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP 2–0 Alverca | 2.34–0.31 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Nacional 0–1 Famalicao | 0.39–1.62 | 8% · 23% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela | 1.07–2.17 | 18% · 20% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Rio Ave 0–4 Estoril | 0.17–3.19 | 1% · 6% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Benfica | 0.43–2.13 | 6% · 17% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| AVS 2–2 Tondela | 0.92–2.00 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Tondela had 62% |
| Arouca 0–2 Moreirense | 0.59–0.68 | 27% · 41% · 33% | Close call, Moreirense won |
| FC Porto 2–1 SC Braga | 0.93–0.91 | 34% · 32% · 33% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Gil Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara | 0.57–0.56 | 29% · 43% · 28% | Close call, Gil Vicente won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.