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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 26.1 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril 1–1 Famalicao | 1.06–1.47 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia | 1.39–0.67 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Maritimo |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Arouca | 2.28–0.43 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Won against the xG: Arouca |
| Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP | 1.10–2.63 | 14% · 16% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Sporting CP had 70% |
| FC Porto 2–0 Alverca | 2.61–1.60 | 59% · 18% · 23% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Benfica 2–2 Academico Viseu | 3.44–1.07 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 81% |
| Gil Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave | 1.66–0.19 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Moreirense 2–2 SC Braga | 0.22–1.32 | 6% · 28% · 66% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 66% |
| Santa Clara 2–2 Nacional | 1.74–1.23 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.