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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 24.1 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória Guimarães | 1.14–1.24 | 34% · 28% · 39% | Close call, Sporting CP won |
| Alverca 2–2 Estrela | 1.94–1.36 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Alverca had 51% |
| Academico Viseu 0–1 Santa Clara | 0.58–1.27 | 17% · 30% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Rio Ave 0–2 FC Porto | 0.67–2.00 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Nacional 2–0 Estoril | 2.03–0.86 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Nacional |
| Arouca 4–0 Moreirense | 2.24–0.50 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo | 0.71–1.64 | 16% · 24% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Maritimo |
| Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica | 0.17–2.84 | 1% · 8% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 1–2 Gil Vicente | 1.39–1.54 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.