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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo 2–2 Academico Viseu | 1.28–1.84 | 27% · 23% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Academico Viseu had 51% |
| Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave | 1.16–0.70 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Won against the xG: Rio Ave |
| Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca | 2.12–0.41 | 78% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Nacional | 3.14–0.42 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Santa Clara 1–0 Famalicao | 1.36–1.05 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| FC Porto 2–0 Arouca | 2.92–0.54 | 85% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia | 1.74–0.76 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Moreirense 0–4 Benfica | 0.39–2.99 | 3% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estrela 2–1 SC Braga | 0.57–0.61 | 28% · 42% · 30% | Close call, Estrela won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.